Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.007764 0.009065 0.010612 0.012614 0.015178 0.018409 0.022889
2025-10-05 0.006429 0.008114 0.010358 0.013674 0.018655 0.026245 0.039586
2025-10-12 0.005541 0.007347 0.009937 0.014132 0.021227 0.033835 0.061349
2025-10-19 0.004797 0.006577 0.009267 0.013924 0.022548 0.039932 0.086131
2025-10-26 0.004315 0.006089 0.008890 0.014038 0.024414 0.048120 0.126398
2025-11-02 0.003877 0.005591 0.008393 0.013789 0.025448 0.055150 0.176168
2025-11-09 0.003438 0.005030 0.007694 0.012992 0.025014 0.058214 0.218741
2025-11-16 0.003100 0.004595 0.007147 0.012376 0.024799 0.061894 0.276924
2025-11-23 0.002920 0.004401 0.007001 0.012541 0.026561 0.073432 0.438187
2025-11-30 0.002714 0.004140 0.006693 0.012297 0.027173 0.081606 0.636775
2025-12-07 0.002509 0.003862 0.006322 0.011841 0.027048 0.086901 0.869350
2025-12-14 0.002358 0.003667 0.006087 0.011654 0.027675 0.096548 1.369564
2025-12-21 0.002268 0.003586 0.006091 0.012108 0.030774 0.125216 4.178550
2025-12-28 0.002230 0.003600 0.006294 0.013125 0.036543 0.186913 76.933848
2026-01-04 0.002145 0.003513 0.006273 0.013558 0.040545 0.253487 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002021 0.003341 0.006043 0.013362 0.041870 0.302165 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001931 0.003226 0.005928 0.013469 0.044730 0.391756 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001828 0.003076 0.005713 0.013234 0.045840 0.467896 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001701 0.002871 0.005351 0.012480 0.043881 0.474262 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001596 0.002701 0.005059 0.011898 0.042629 0.496341 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001543 0.002635 0.005001 0.012054 0.045668 0.673944 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001472 0.002527 0.004835 0.011823 0.046338 0.800832 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001396 0.002403 0.004619 0.011390 0.045545 0.868986 NaN